Water/Ice Data for LAKE LUCERNE
Brought to you by:
Melmacian Meteorology, Inc.
A Knottlane Company

2024 Ice-In:   December 13, 2024 @ 10:00 AM

2024 Days of Water: 248  (Two weeks above average)

Average Days of Water: 234.833 (as of 2024)

Average Days of Ice: 130.621 (as of 2023)

Average Ice-Out Date: April 21

Average Ice-In Date: December 12

aLf predicts 2024 Ice-out: April 22, 2025

My winter 2024 Ice-In calculations are figured as follows:

As of 2024 the average amount of elapsed days to ice-out after New Year's Day is 110.333 days, which equates to an ice-out date of: 4/21/25. (Using days from New Year's places the averages more on the calendar, i.e. leap year dates, etc. It uses the sun angle and the latitude of Lake Lucerne). Leap Year will not occur until 2028. Make sure you factor in the extra day for your ice-in calculations.

As of 2024 the average amount of elapsed days to ice-out after the previous ice-out is 130.621 days, which equates to an ice-out date of: 4/22/25. (Using days from the previous ice-in computes the true average days of ice only from Lucerne - Ice history).

"Past performance is no guarantee of future results". *** The Knottlane Legal Department added that...   The average of the two dates is: April 22, 2025 @ 1:56 AM.

Picking these dates is not scientific and the numbers are just that - numbers. aLf has been analyzing this data for 30+ years. In that time his expertise and knowledge of the criteria involved has allowed him to pick the right date of either ice-in or out a total of zero times. Only God and next year's lucky winner know the true date and time.

Ice dates are a consortium of Lake Lucerne Cardinals: Shirley Ratty - (Cardinal-Emeritus), Meg, Andy, aLf - (Cardinal-Emeritus) and other Loons & Loonies.

In 2017, the Knottlane Cardinals were awarded the highly sought after "Lake Lucerne Loon pin of excellence", accompanied by shots of Sake for their accuracy and willingness to oversee the lake. aLf hasn't been back to Japan since, so Sake has been discontinued.

Thanks to The Knottlane Drone for keeping the gambling honest.


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